2 weeks away from the draft and a lot of rumors are starting to make you think certain teams are leaning towards certain players or positions. Most of it is smokescreens to keep teams away from the players they truly want, while some are the truth.
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2013 NFL Mock Draft: Round 1
1. Kansas City Chiefs - Luke Joeckel OT/Texas A&M
It was a smart move for the Chiefs to bring Albert back, whether they keep him or not. The #1 pick if kept will be on either Joeckel or Fisher, whoever they like better. For a 2 win team last season, this roster is stacked and Alex Smith will be safe as long as he’s in Kansas City. OT or trade, no other options at this point after a solid free agency period.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars - Ezekial Ansah DE/BYU
This is a tough decision for me. With Jones having a clean bill of health, I think he fits best for the Jags. Yet, if they believe Ansah can have a similar impact as JPP to help their porous pass rush they should make the pick. I don’t see them looking at QB this early in the draft with better prospects next season.
Previous pick: Jarvis Jones
3. Oakland Raiders - Shariff Floyd DT/Florida
Even with Lotulelei being cleared, Floyd has jumped over him with an impressive pre-draft season. With the loss of Seymour, Kelly and Bryant at DT they have no choice but to take one of the top talents in the draft. They have made a lot of off-season pickups on the defensive side, but is leaving the door open on the defensive line.
4. Philadelphia Eagles - Eric Fisher OT/Central Michigan
I think the Eagles free agency moves pretty much made this as easy a choice if there ever was one. Peters and Herremans are both over 30 and coming off season ending injuries. Dunlap and Bell were let go and they need someone to protect whoever the QB is next season. Milliner could still be an option, but is less likely at this point.
5. Detroit Lions - Lane Johnson OT/Oklahoma
The Lions need to address their pass rush with Avril leaving during free agency and Vanden Bosch being released. At the same time, there aren’t many top LT prospects in this draft and Johnson is the best left on the board. Backus retired, Cherilus went to Indy and last year’s 1st round pick Reiff projects better at RT. They’ll have to address the defense later and worry about keeping Stafford healthy.
Previous pick: Bjoern Werner
6. Cleveland Browns - Dee Milliner CB/Alabama
Based on the lack of true CB interest in free agency, I think the Browns are banking on Milliner being available. Brent Grimes has been a name linked as of lately, but he’s going to be 30 this season and coming off an achilles injury. Not the future of the position if you ask me. Milliner, Haden and Ward would give the Browns a very dangerous secondary to add with a stout front seven.
7. Arizona Cardinals - Chance Warmack OG/Alabama
With the acquisition of Palmer at QB, I’m pretty sure the Cardinals will hold off on a QB in the 1st round. Also with the top LT’s off the board Warmack is the best option. He will immediately upgrade the offensive line and improve the run blocking. Whom ever they put at RB will benefit from Warmack being there.
I think Jones or Jordan are options here to upgrade the teams pass rush.
Previous pick: Geno Smith
8. Buffalo Bills - Geno Smith QB/West Virginia
The acquisition of Kolb screamed out “We’re desperate at QB!” Therefore I think the top QB on the board when they pick will be taken. Smith most likely will not make it here due a trade up, but if he is he is the pick.
Previous pick: Cordarrelle Patterson
9. New York Jets - Dion Jordan OLB/Oregon
I don’t believe Jordan is a top 10 worthy pick, but Rex Ryan has no sense when it comes to drafting. The defense needs to be fixed immediately….ohhhh and so does the offense. This team is possibly heading for the #1 pick next season and the QB of their choice. After letting Pouha and Devito walk, the defensive line needs help.
Richardson, Mingo, Vaccaro and even Austin are options here for this unpredictable team.
10. Tennessee Titans - Bjoern Werner DE/Florida State
The Titans upgraded their offensive line in free agency, but still could use help there. They need to put more pressure on the QB on the defensive side of the ball more. Werner dropping in their laps here is a great thing. I would have switched this pick over to DT with how it is falling, but I like the Hill signing.
Previous pick: Ezekial Ansah
11. San Diego Chargers - Jarvis Jones OLB/Georgia
With the top prospects at OT and OG all off the board, it could be a reach for the Chargers to draft one of the remaining ones available. I think Jones is top player on the board and fits a need. He’ll put plenty of pressure on the QB, especially with the loss of Phillips and Barnes.
Previous pick: Chance Warmack
12. Miami Dolphins - Xavier Rhodes CB/Florida State
Johnson didn’t fall in this mock, so therefore they’ll just replace Smith with Rhodes who is another big CB. I think the Dolphins are one of the main teams looking to trade up to guarantee a top LT to replace Long.
Previous pick: Lane Johnson
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Desmond Trufant CB/Washington
I’m still convinced the Bucs will add Trufant to the much improved secondary in the draft. Biggers is gone and they need help at CB. Trufant is the best option here although offensive line and a pass rusher is needed.
14. Carolina Panthers - Star Lotulelei DT/Utah
The Panthers need a S and they could use help on the offensive line. A healthy Lotulelei could be a different maker that could send both he and Kuechly to the Pro Bowl annually. Edwards is getting up there in age as well.
Previous pick: Kenny Vaccaro
15. New Orleans Saints - Barkevious Mingo OLB/LSU
Mingo is the best pass rusher available and Rob Ryan will jump all over him. The Saints have Sean Payton back at coach so expect the offense to be back to dangerous. The defense needs playmakers on it and the addition of Lewis at CB was a solid pickup. I actually like the defensive line and ILB’s on the team so an OLB is what is needed most, besides a new LT.
16. St. Louis Rams - Cordarrelle Patterson WR/Tennessee
The Rams need help at WR and with Patterson falling to them at #16 is a miracle. I’m not as sold on Austin as everyone else is with his newly gained hype. He’s a very good player, but he shouldn’t be considered the top prospect in this draft. Not even in my top 3, but who am I?
Previous pick: Tavin Austin
17. Pittsburgh Steelers - Tavon Austin WR/West Virginia
Austin replaces Wallace and possibly Sanders. He is a speedy guy that will stretch the field and help Big Ben in his transition to new WR’s.
Previous pick: Star Lotulelei
18. Dallas Cowboys - Jonathan Cooper OG/North Carolina
The Cowboys need to upgrade their offensive line again this year and it’s about time Jerry Jones does it. He decided to give Romo a RIDICULOUS contract extension, so he needs to give him better protection.
19. New York Giants - Arthur Brown OLB/Kansas State
The Giants need help in the linebacking corps. I love the addition of Connor, but I am a firm believer that Kiwanuka needs to be left at DE where he is more effective. Brown would start at OLB and be an upgrade over what they have now.
20. Chicago Bears - Alec Ogletree ILB/Georgia
With the addition of Bushrod in free agency, OT is not their biggest need anymore. Replacing their future Hall of Famer Urlacher becomes the new need and the switch to a 3-4 scheme opens the door right up for Ogletree to come in. Safety could also be an option here as well.
21. Cincinnati Bengals - D.J. Fluker OT/Alabama
With the uncertainty of the Bengals resigning Smith, Fluker can eliminate that issue. He’ll start from Day 1 at RT and in the future could possibly switch over to LT. With the way the defense came on last season, they are pretty solid there except for a S.
22. St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins) - Kenny Vaccaro S/Texas
Jeff Fisher is putting together one of the most talented secondaries in the league. Easily could mention them in the same sentence with the Seahawks secondary. Vaccaro dropping this far is probably a long shot, but it could happen. Vaccaro, Finnegan, Jenkins and Johnson will be scary for years in this league.
Previous pick: Matt Elam
23. Minnesota Vikings - Keenan Allen WR/California
Even with the addition of Jennings in free agency, they still are stuck with only one WR. I don’t think that Simpson is the guy, so drafting Allen with the first of the two 1st round picks is a smart move. Jennings and Allen will automatically open up more opportunities for AP to break the rushing record.
24. Indianapolis Colts - Manti Te’o ILB/Notre Dame
The Colts could easily make this pick. Te’o could be a boom or bust pick and if they do decide to pick him, I’m sure they believe he can be successful. They have a need at ILB in the 3-4 and he could be the guy.
Previous pick: Larry Warford
25. Minnesota Vikings (from Seattle Seahawks) - Sheldon Richardson DT/Missouri
Kevin Williams is aging and Richardson is a great player who can replace him. He’s not as big, but he’s extremely talented and if he’s still on the board at this point it’s an easy pick to make.
26. Green Bay Packers - Matt Elam SS/Florida
The Packers didn’t do anything good except lose players in free agency. Their biggest loss was the retirement of Jeff Saturday. I’m sure Rodgers would love to have a new anchor of the offensive line being a Wisconsin linemen. When I think of them all I can hear is DJ Khaled in the background screaming “All we do is block!”
Previous pick: Travis Frederick
27. Houston Texans - Kevin Minter ILB/LSU
With Brian Cushing coming off a season ending injury and Bradie James, Barrett Ruud and Conner Barwin being free agents they can’t keep everyone. Minter would be a great fit for an already great defense.
28. Denver Broncos - Johnathan Cyprien SS/Florida International
With the additions of Welker and Vasquez on offense and Knighton and Rodgers-Cromartie on defense the Broncos are in a good position to take the BPA. Cyprien is probably not the BPA, but he is an upgrade at the safety position.
29. New England Patriots - Johnathan Hankins DT/Ohio State
The Patriots and Bill Belichick never do what anyone expects them to do in the draft except pick the right players. Wilfork is getting up there in age and Love is very good, but another disruptive force in the middle couldn’t hurt.
30. Atlanta Falcons - Tyler Eifert TE/Notre Dame
The Falcons get another weapon on offense and eases the transition to the retirement of Gonzalez.
Previous pick: Xavier Rhodes
31. San Francisco 49ers - Zach Ertz TE/Stanford
The 49ers let Walker leave in free agency and also added Boldin through a trade. The offense just keeps getting better for Kaepernick as Davis gets paired with Harbaugh’s former guy.
Previous pick: Tyler Eifert
32. Baltimore Ravens - Robert Woods WR/USC
The Ravens were extremely lucky to sign Dumervil and with that acquisition they said they’d try Upshaw at ILB. That completely upgrades the LB’s and the signing of Huff gives me the impression they’ll look S in round 2 and not the 1st. Woods is a player I think will model after Boldin, who they traded to the 49ers, minus the strength. Not sure what Jones can give as a full-time WR.
Also check out more mock drafts from my team!
Also check out my list of NFL Mock Draft Databases to see what other people think about the upcoming draft.